North American sourced silver bullion supply is overwhelmed by demand. Most mint and refinery production for the rest of the year are already sold, causing very long delivery times or no availability.
The good news is that silver does not need to come from North American mints and refiners. With confirmed deliveries this week of 140,000 ounces of bars from LBMA approved refiner Nadir arriving, we will have substantial in-stock availability. As we bought most of the refinery's 100 oz silver bar production we can maintain pre-shortage premiums and immediate delivery - until supplies last.
In a quest to stay a step ahead of shortages, we will also be receiving increased shipments of 1,000 oz LBMA good delivery silver bars from Heraeus. Please note that each 1,000 oz bar has a unique weight that can vary between 900 and 1050 oz, (see LBMA good delivery bar specifications ) so each serial number and weight is unique and, in the case of pre-orders, customers may have to top-up or receive credit prior to ownership transfer.
You can also utilize Peer to Peer loans to get up to 50% loan on the value of your purchased bullion, thereby allowing you, for example, to buy 70 instock bars and get a loan to obtain an additional 30 bars which you can lock in immediately. P2P loans have recently transacted as low as 1.5% for a 6 months loan (3% pa) and can be seamlessly rolled into another P2P loan before expiration, offering great flexibility.
With the industry scrambling for supplies, if you store bullion, this would be a good time to review whether you actually own your stored bullion or not. In this regard I have written a timely article on the "Three Common Secure Storage Misunderstandings".
|Three Common Secure Storage Misunderstandings
|We detail three of the most common storage misunderstandings. Once a systemic crisis occurs and counterparty defaults become common your preparedness in these matters will make all the difference to your wealth.
1) "Fully Allocated" is not Ownership
Our financial system is based on “IOUs” (IOU = I owe you) , whereby one party owes something to another party and is therefore dependent on their counterparty's solvency. Most bullion storage systems, whether allocated, unallocated or unbacked are also IOU based.
In these systems bullion ounces are owed to, but not owned by the customer. Hence customers are relegated to creditor status and it is possible for the dealer to:
We routinely see evidence of such a system when customers transfer bullion from an IOU based storage system to us. On many occasions, bullion coins a customer bought in, say, 2012 would arrive at our vault as 2015 minted coins.
- Utilize stored bullion as inventory to sell to new customers
- Lease out their owned bullion to third parties for additional income
Because a buyer could not possibly have bought 2015 minted coins in 2012 this evidences how his 2012 claim was settled with 2015 coins as inventory is rotated and acquired either on an “as needed” or "replacement" basis by the bullion dealer.
The problem with this practice is that, should 2015 coins become unavailable in the industry - as is now the case, what would the customer receive if he request for delivery ? This is why the "If you do not hold it, you don't own it" saying still largely holds true.
Bullion storage does not need, and should not, operate in this manner.
At Silver Bullion, I have been adamant to never utilize an IOU storage system because, despite the many conveniences for the dealer, it is not in the long-term interest of the customer and, once established, it is difficult to switch from an IOU based system to ownership based system.
Instead we deal only in uniquely identified parcels whose legal title property is transferred to the customer through an invoice under Singapore law and removed from our balance sheet. This relegates us to be a storage agent for the customer's property and is more akin to the real estate (ownership) system than a financial (IOU) system.
Ownership of uniquely identified bullion parcels becomes important in times of shortages because it eliminates the risk of it being sold to somebody else and is essential in a currency crisis because it gives you legal property title instead of being a creditor whose claims risk being defaulted on in a crisis.
Being the legal title owner of your stored bullion is the single most important step you can take.
You can convert from a IOU system to ownership by taking delivery of your bullion yourself or having it transferred to us for storage, whereby we will also authenticate the bullion through DUX , allow for sellbacks and the option to get a Peer to Peer loan from a fellow S.T.A.R. Storage customer if you wish to.
2) Make-Believe Security
The argument goes like this: "It would be a security breach to show you a picture of your bullion or the facility where or how your bullion is stored". This explanation is typically used to hide the fact that storage is outsourced to other parties, it is not present, or is stored in some retail shop backroom which would be embarrassing to show to customers.
The statement has no security value because, in practice, the locations of commercial vaults are well known. The logistical demands of storing and withdrawing metals imply frequent commercial deliveries, making it obvious where a vault is located. Blindfolding and spinning visiting reporters in circles before a visit is also mostly a media stunt rather than a genuine security procedure.
Real vault security encompasses three key risk factors:
A facility's security rating is not based on how well the facility is hidden from its customers but is assessed by the facility’s insurer who, by being required to pay on an insured loss, has a keen interest to comprehensively evaluate and price the facility’s storage risk.
- Prevention of Third Party Theft
- Prevention of Inside Jobs
- Prevention of Operational Errors
Security assessments are conducted by "Species Inspectors" whose feedback then determines insurance eligibility and costs. Vault procedures that minimize the possibility of operational errors and maximize transparency through redundant checks, division of roles, and effective internal monitoring form a large part of this assessment.
Our vault, The Safe House, received a "No Improvement Required Recommendation" grading from the species inspectors (who conducted the assessment on behalf of a Lloyd’s underwriter). This being the highest assessment grade, it allowed us to cover our storage customers against “mysterious disappearance” (whose significance is explained later) at a reasonable rate.
To better illustrate how unique The Safe House facility is, you might be pleased to know that it is listed, along with Le FreePort (formerly the Singapore FreePort), as the two world class storage facilities in Singapore by International Enterprise Singapore, a division of the Ministry of Trade and Industry.
In case you are wondering, Le FreePort is a facility which is rented to global vault operators,working with bullion dealers and retail storage providers across the world who outsource their storage services. Whereas The Safe House was built by Silver Bullion Pte Ltd to remove foreign jurisdictional exposure and middlemen to ensure exclusive Singapore jurisdiction and a single group counterparty.
Our fully owned storage facility in Singapore, The Safe House (TSH), now stores nearly 100 tons of investment grade silver and gold or about 0.2% of known above ground silver reserves. The image shows one of the 4 storage lines.
3) "All-Risk" Insurance does not cover All-Risks
In insurance parlance, the term "all risk" refers to a type of insurance which covers against all risks, unless excluded on a list within the agreement. Therefore, without a list of exclusions, the term 'all risk' is effectively meaningless.
In practice the term 'all risk insurance" often misleads customers - and even most employees in the industry - into thinking that stored bullion is insured against all risks, when this is not the case.
Vault insurance - which is referred to as liability protection when applied to your bullion - mirrors the risks involved with storing bullion, and thus:
Of these, mysterious disappearance coverage is the holy grail because it covers losses that cannot be otherwise explained and cannot be backed by police reports, thereby requiring the insurance to be extraordinarily confident in the people and processes of the vault.
- Third party thefts - are covered by fire and theft insurance
- Inside jobs - are covered by infidelity insurance
- Unknown cause losses - are covered by mysterious disappearance insurance
Commercial vaults seldom cover mysterious disappearance because of the pressure to minimize insurance costs and because very few customers have access to, or take the time to read the small print of a storage contract, and therefore do not get to fully understand these insurance details.
Living with the risk of your bullion mysteriously disappearing does not mean your bullion will be lost, but you should be aware what you are really getting in exchange for your storage fees without being misled by the term "all risk" insurance.
The bullion storage industry at large suffers from a lack of transparency, not security. Customers are often told "you have fully allocated, all risk insured, bullion stored in a top secret and therefore safe facility".
Yet in practice most customers are only creditors, not owners, and fabricated security and "all risk insurance" claims are often used to derail or mislead legitimate customer enquiries. Without ownership and transparency on where, how and through whom bullion is really stored you cannot assess your risks and you are not nearly as well protected in a systemic crisis as you might think.
Understand risks, ask questions, demand facts, and if possible, go visit the bullion dealer or the vault operator and see for yourself. Once a systemic crisis occurs and counterparty defaults become common your preparedness in these matters will make all the difference to your wealth.
Gregor J. Gregersen