Silver Price Projections for 2020

Time will tell regarding gold prices, but what is nearly certain is that national debt will exponentially increase. Further, over 30 years, the sum of the S&P and gold have increased similarly to the population adjusted national debt. Similar analysis can be used to project silver prices. Based on the past 15 years, we should expect considerable and increasing volatility, as the next few years will probably see dramatically increasing debt, stock market corrections (the S&P is overvalued and probably peaking in 2015), deflationary forces and increasing debt defaults, desperate central banks “printing” even more currencies, a derivative scare or crash, central bank created consumer price inflation, another financial crisis, and the list goes on.

Given the difficulty of predicting prices in central bank managed markets, this analysis relies upon long term trends. Consider the following:

Population adjusted national debt and the sum of the S&P plus 92 times the price of silver show clear exponential increases over the past 30 years. Expect debt and the sum of the S&P and 92 times silver (SUM) to exponentially increase, perhaps even more rapidly.

Why use the sum of the S&P 500 Index and 92 times silver? Broadly speaking, the S&P represents paper assets while silver represents real assets, and the 30 year average ratio is 92. Both markets are heavily influenced by central bank manipulations and often one increases as the other decreases, but the sum increases along with debt.

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