Gold Price 2015: Forecasts And Predictions
We also believe there is a “prediction addiction”. That is why we are not taking specific price predictions too serious. We believe, however, there is value in forecasting. A forecast is not about predicting prices but rather describing a future situation, mostly based on ongoing trends.
We have selected 6 bullish gold forecasts and predictions for gold in 2015, and 9 neutral to bearish stances towards gold in 2015.
The key theme on the gold price chart are the two trading ranges since gold’s all time highs. One trading range started end of 2011 and lasted till early 2013, the second one is still in play. In technical terms, both trading ranges took the form of a descending triangle.
Bullish forecasts and predictions for gold in 2015
Earlier this year, gold analyst Ronald-Peter Stoeferle released its gold price model for 2015 and beyond. Based on weighted probabilities, his model shows a long-term gold price of USD 1,515 per ounce. The distribution of gold price expectations remains positively skewed as evidenced by the following chart. Therefore, should there be a deviation from the currently widely expected path towards stabilization of the central banks’ balance sheet, significant upside potential for the gold price would result.